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An optimization problem has to be solved by adjusting the threshold and seeking the optimum in order to balance the trade-off between the decrease in revenue and a decrease in cost.

An optimization problem has to be solved by adjusting the threshold and seeking the optimum in order to balance the trade-off between the decrease in revenue and a decrease in cost.

If “Settled” is described as good and “Past Due” is understood to be negative, then using the layout for the confusion matrix plotted in Figure 6, the four regions are split as real Positive (TN), False Positive (FP), False bad (FN) and real Negative (TN). Aligned with all the confusion matrices plotted in Figure 5, TP may be the good loans hit, and FP may be the defaults missed. Our company is interested in those two regions. Continue reading

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